‘What if we’re left with ruins?’: Doubts creep in for Iranians who supported war

What if we’re left with ruins?’: Doubts creep in for Iranians who supported war

Initial Optimism and Frustration

Many Iranians initially backed the war, envisioning a swift collapse of the regime. But as the conflict drags on, their enthusiasm has waned. A Tehran resident shared with the BBC, “We thought they’d kill all the senior figures and the regime would collapse in days, but we are in the second week now and every night I wake to explosions.” Her hope has given way to unease, reflecting a broader shift in sentiment.

Civilian Impact and Displacement

Communication challenges have intensified since the conflict began. Iranian authorities imposed a near-total internet blackout on 28 February, complicating efforts to reach those within the country. Despite these barriers, the BBC managed to speak with several Iranians critical of the government. Their names were hidden to protect them from potential repercussions.

Uncertainty Over Regime’s Fate

For some, the war’s initial promise of political change is now overshadowed by the harsh realities of war. Sama, a 31-year-old engineer in Tehran, once felt hopeful when the strikes commenced. “For years we have protested,” she said. “Every time they silence us, they kill us.” She believed the attacks could dismantle the regime, even celebrating when reports indicated the Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, had been targeted.

Fear of Post-Regime Chaos

Two weeks into the conflict, Sama’s optimism has faded. “Now I see some are terrified,” she said. “People I know are wondering if their neighbourhood will be next.” The toll on civilians is becoming impossible to ignore. According to preliminary UNHCR estimates, 600,000 to one million Iranian households have been displaced, affecting up to 3.2 million people. This trend is expected to worsen as the war continues.

Long-Term Concerns and Questions

Mina, a 28-year-old teacher in a northern city, still seeks an end to the clerical establishment but fears the war’s lasting effects. “This fanatic regime brought us this war,” she said. “But when you see massive fires and hear explosions, when you see young children afraid and crying, you start thinking about whether this can ruin the country you love and live in.” Her friends, once vocal about regime collapse, now express caution, questioning if the war will leave the same leaders in power with a more oppressive grip.

Humanitarian Needs and Regime Change Ambitions

While the campaign has been justified as targeting Iran’s nuclear and missile capabilities, some leaders, including Donald Trump, hinted at broader goals. Ali, a 31-year-old shopkeeper injured during protests in January, worries about instability. “Everyone talks about ‘regime change’ like it’s a simple switch,” he said. “But who will take power? What stops the country from falling into chaos, even if they somehow manage to bring the regime down?” The uncertainty weighs on even those who oppose the government, as the war’s legacy remains unclear.